XRP Price Prediction: Will It Hit $2 Amid ETF Speculation and Technical Crossroads?

#XRP

• Price at a Critical Junction: XRP is trading at $2.0044, directly at the psychological $2 level, with immediate technical resistance at the 20-day moving average of $2.11.
• Bullish Momentum Building: The positive MACD histogram suggests underlying buying pressure, which could support a push toward the $2.12 resistance and the upper Bollinger Band near $2.28.
• Catalyst-Driven Outlook: The market's focus on ETF speculation and XRP's evolving use case as infrastructure provides potential upside catalysts, though breaking above key resistance levels is essential for a sustained rally.

XRP Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: XRP/USDT

According to the technical data for XRP/USDT as of December 11, 2025, the price is currently at $2.0044, trading slightly below its 20-day moving average of $2.1100. BTCC financial analyst Olivia notes that the MACD indicator shows a positive reading of 0.0323, with the signal line at 0.0171 and a histogram of 0.0153, indicating a potential bullish momentum building. The price is positioned within the Bollinger Bands, with the middle band at $2.1100 serving as immediate resistance. The lower band at $1.9444 provides a key support level. Olivia suggests that a sustained break above the 20-day MA could signal a shift towards the upper Bollinger Band NEAR $2.2756.

Market Sentiment: ETF Speculation and Key Levels

Recent headlines highlight a mix of Optimism and caution for XRP. BTCC financial analyst Olivia points to the prevailing narrative of XRP's potential transformation from a speculative asset to settlement infrastructure as a long-term bullish driver. However, immediate price action is being influenced by technical resistance and ETF speculation. News of a potential 16% price move from a triangle setup aligns with the technical view of a consolidation phase. Olivia emphasizes that while ETF-related rallies could propel prices toward the $2.50–$3.00 range, the market must first overcome the noted resistance at $2.12. The current sentiment is cautiously optimistic but respects the bearish signals emerging at higher levels.

Factors Influencing XRP’s Price

XRP Price Prediction: Triangle Setup Suggests Potential 16% Move Amid ETF Speculation

XRP's price action is compressing near critical support and resistance levels, setting the stage for a decisive market move. Analysts are divided on whether the cryptocurrency will surge by 16% or face downward pressure as it consolidates around the $2 mark.

Trading at $2.06 with a modest 0.43% daily gain, XRP maintains strong liquidity with over $4 billion in volume. The $1.95-$2.10 range has become a battleground for traders awaiting technical and regulatory catalysts.

Market analyst Ali highlights a descending triangle formation on the 4-hour chart, with $1.95 serving as crucial support. A confirmed breakout could trigger significant momentum as ETF discussions gain traction in crypto circles.

XRP's Pivot from Speculative Asset to Settlement Infrastructure

XRP’s market narrative is undergoing a fundamental shift. Once driven by retail speculation and regulatory battles, the token is now being evaluated as potential plumbing for global liquidity flows. This recalibration reflects a maturation beyond crypto’s traditional boom-bust cycles.

Digital Asset Solutions’ latest analysis suggests Ripple’s ecosystem—with its regulated stablecoin and institutional tools—is positioning XRP adjacent to SWIFT and correspondent banking networks. The market appears to be pricing this infrastructure potential, though adoption remains unproven.

This evolution mirrors broader industry trends where select blockchain projects transition from speculative instruments to specialized financial utilities. For XRP, the test will be whether it can secure a durable role in the settlement stack as tokenization accelerates.

XRP Faces Resistance at $2.12 as Bearish Signals Emerge

XRP's rally falters below the critical $2.12 resistance level, with a sharp rejection signaling growing bearish pressure. Despite a 1.23% daily gain to $2.08, the token's inability to sustain momentum above $2.17 points to distribution rather than continuation.

Trading volumes surged 45.53% to $3.79 billion during the failed breakout attempt, suggesting institutional interest lacked follow-through. The technical landscape now shows XRP trapped between $2.083 support and $2.17 resistance, with oscillators flashing mixed signals amid Bitcoin's market dominance.

XRP Rallies as ETFs Surge, Price Could Hit $2.50–$3 Range

XRP trades at $2.09 with a $5.47 billion 24-hour volume and a $125.82 billion market cap, marking a 0.68% daily gain. Exchange balances have plummeted from 3.95 billion to 2.6 billion tokens, signaling institutional accumulation.

XRP-focused ETFs attracted $935 million in inflows after 16 consecutive days of net purchases, including $245 million last week. Analysts interpret the supply crunch as a bullish indicator, with reduced selling pressure fueling optimism for a potential rally to $2.50–$3.

XRP Tests Key Support Levels Amid Volatile Crypto Market

XRP hovers at $2.14, defending a critical support zone as traders watch for a potential year-end rebound. The token’s weekly chart shows stabilization above the $2.07-$2.15 range, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) holding near mid-40s—a level that historically precedes upward moves.

Market analysts flag $1.94 as the decisive bounce area, where buyers have repeatedly stepped in during past corrections. December’s modest bullish seasonality adds to the case for a late-2025 rally, though current momentum remains subdued.

The broader crypto market faces heightened volatility, with many major assets struggling to establish direction. XRP’s technical posture—trading above rising moving averages—suggests it may outperform peers if support holds.

Will XRP Price Hit $2?

Based on the current technical data and market sentiment, XRP is already trading at approximately $2.0044, effectively at the $2 threshold. BTCC financial analyst Olivia provides the following analysis:

The immediate challenge is sustaining this level and converting it into support. The 20-day moving average at $2.11 represents the next significant hurdle. A successful break above this, supported by positive MACD momentum, could pave the way for a test of the $2.12 resistance mentioned in the news and potentially higher toward the $2.2756 upper Bollinger Band.

Key factors to watch include:

• ETF Developments: Positive news could provide the catalyst for a sustained move above $2.
• Technical Breakout: A daily close above the 20-day MA ($2.11) would strengthen the bullish case.
• Market Sentiment: The shift in narrative toward XRP as infrastructure is a long-term positive, but short-term volatility may persist.

In summary, XRP is already testing the $2 level. The probability of it hitting and holding above $2 in the near term appears favorable, contingent on overcoming the immediate overhead resistance and maintaining positive market catalysts.